Chapter 866: Chapter 357: I Disagree! (Part 2)

Three factors are jointly exerting pressure, making this year’s bull market inevitable.

Initially, it will develop with a pattern no different from past bull markets, and then, as the profit effect spreads to broader layers, the influence of massive idle funds will become evident in a very short time.

Therefore, the explosiveness of this market cycle will significantly exceed that of 2007.

And it won’t be a structured market, but rather a widespread bull market.

However, due to the continuous expansion of the market, the current total market value far exceeds that of the past, making it unlikely for the final peak point to surpass the 2007 bull market.

Here, I want to make a purely intuitive prediction without any data basis—the high point of this bull market will hardly break 5200 points.

Everyone can remember the number I mentioned and verify it for themselves later.

Of course, this number will not provide any guidance for my operations. I will continuously adjust my approach based on the actual market behavior.

Meanwhile, the third issue I want to discuss is: How long will this bull market last?

The answer is self-evident.

Explosive power corresponds to a relatively short duration. This cannot be a slow bull or long bull market, with the duration roughly equal to the closed period of my Supernova One, within a year and a half.

This is my complete judgment and reasoning for this bull market.

Mr. Xu, are you satisfied with my answer?"

"I’m very satisfied."

Xu Xiang’s expression remains serious, but he doesn’t say much, instead handing over the microphone and quietly pondering.

This seriousness doesn’t imply anger or disagreement.

On the contrary, Xu Xiang feels greatly benefited, gaining a lot of inspiration.

Many experts are also deep in thought, and the venue gradually quiets down.

However, Han Lie is not at all concerned about how much time they need to comprehend, and suddenly accelerates the pace.

"Based on the judgment of widespread growth, my second set of fixed investment plans strikes a balance between profit and safety, targeting broad market indices like the SSE 50 ETF, CSI 300 ETF, and more.

If you are willing to trust my judgment and believe a bull market is imminent, but know little about picking stocks or simply don’t have time to follow the stock market, you can opt for fixed investments.

Considering that a significant portion of the guests present don’t possess specialized knowledge or long-term investment experience, I won’t use technical jargon but will share real industry yield rates.

As of today, there are roughly over 1600 private equity funds, multiplied by public and trust products in the entire industry.

Among them, only less than 8% of managers can consistently outperform the market.

What does this mean?

If you bought an index fund in 2000 and held onto it blindly until today, your return would surpass 92% of all institutions.

Some might find it hard to believe, but that’s the reality.

Why?

Because outperforming the market itself is very challenging, and various private and public equity funds still charge subscription fees, management fees, handling fees, and profit-sharing.

Moreover, during market operations, they often get affected by non-market factors.

After calculations, there are only a handful of products and institutions that can achieve a real compound annual growth rate of over 10%.

For example, Xu Xiang’s Zexi, first in the industry.

Everyone knows it.

But who can name the third company and product in the private equity sector?

Probably can’t, right?

So there’s really no need to excessively believe in so-called professionals. They are indeed more skilled than you, but now that I’ve made specific points public, what’s the real gap between you?

If institutions don’t handle stock shuffling well in the bull market, they may not outperform the market.

But ETF index funds steadily outperform the market.

At least the costs are low, without any fees.

Although I myself am in private equity, since you’ve spent a lot to attend my lecture, I must speak truthfully.

I’m not afraid of offending my peers or clarifying accounts with everyone.

Taking my Supernova One as an example, I’m indeed confident in seizing high profits in this bull market, but my management fee is 5%, and my profit-sharing terms are also stringent.

In the end, the index may only increase 2.5 times, while my Supernova One profits 6 times, but after deducting the profit-sharing and such, the money made from my fund may not necessarily be more than what can be earned from ETFs.

This is the honest truth. My professional ethics compel me to explain it clearly to you.

Therefore, my fund is only suitable for a few specific types of people—

Like very busy entrepreneurs with absolutely no time or energy to waste on the stock market.

Like complete newcomers lacking any investment foundation.

Like those who don’t want to manage themselves, don’t want their daily emotions affected by market swings, and prioritize quality of life over profits.

These individuals can entrust me with their spare funds and freely go about their work and life, waiting for the final settlement, which is spending money on an experience.

As for other friends capable of managing themselves, I recommend you do fixed investments yourself; whatever you earn is yours and doesn’t need to be shared with anyone.

Fixed investments are simple; when the index approaches 2000 points, directly buy ETF index funds according to preference. SSE 50 and CSI 300 are both viable.

If you have 5 million idle funds today, invest them.

After two months, if another 5 million idle funds are available and the index hasn’t risen much, invest again.

You can invest at any time before the bull market starts.